The HRRR had been consistent run to run resolving a good tail-end storm in Texas. SPC has a 2% chance of tornadoes along the front from TX to Greenland. But, Dew points and tornado parameters are a little higher on the OK/KS border. I’ll be roll...
2022-05-31 16:13:21 +0000 UTC View Post
EDIT: After taking in consideration distance to tomorrow’s target I’ll be chasing the Kansas 5% today.
I’m lost in parameters today guys and can’t offer much guidance. Minnesota looks like chaos (messy, fast and unpredictable) at a ...
2022-05-30 14:25:35 +0000 UTC View Post
At a glance it looks like I’ll be targeting the Missouri River vicinity in NE/SD. Current plan is to get on innit and dial in. I’m still down in Salina Kansas digesting eggs, ham, pancakes and coffee. Thanks for the breakfast Patrons. Good lu...
2022-05-29 16:45:20 +0000 UTC View Post
With the help of your generosity I was able to bag this beauty on May 4, 2022. It's actually nice when tornadoes go where roads do not. You get to kick back in stress free awe.
I gambled (with confidence) that the atmospher...
2022-05-27 20:26:49 +0000 UTC View Post
There's a few targets today. I'll likely be playing the triple point (where the surface low, front and dryline meet)...
YESTERDAY was p...
2022-05-24 17:40:56 +0000 UTC View Post
I’m currently getting suckered toward the Lubbock vicinity for a round of storms today. Tornado potential is very low and the lightning very high. Good luck devoted chasers!
2022-05-23 18:48:19 +0000 UTC
View Post
It's a long shot for tornadoes, but only a 5 hour drive. That's about $90 in gas there and back. I think that's worth the odds. Maybe some good lightning at the very least. I'll post updates if anything interesting happens. Gotta...
2022-05-20 17:14:36 +0000 UTC View Post
Hello Patrons,
I'm currently composing TexMex guitar for a full account video of the May 4th family of tornadoes. This video indulges requests for longer cuts and entire chases, though I jump cut the less exciting moments. ...
2022-05-17 18:05:21 +0000 UTC View Post
This 10% tornado outlook is different from ones storm chasers get anxious for. Rather than discreet supercells and their beautiful danger dangles, this outlook suggests tornado potential in embedded in messy surging squall lines. Generally these Q...
2022-05-12 15:17:11 +0000 UTC View Post
After a night in a disgusting $55 motel6 in York Nebraska, I’m thinking early storm initiation around 1pm in northeast Nebraska today.
Had five days off to dump and sort all that sweet tornado footage captured on May 4th. Looks like I doc...
2022-05-11 14:10:56 +0000 UTC View Post
Lots of opportunities for Mother Nature to vent her frustrations today all over North Texas and Oklahoma. Let's hope she's forgiving. I'll likely be heading to the Amarillo area. Conga line assemble! (FYI, that's what Tim Marshall calls the ...
2022-05-04 14:39:57 +0000 UTC View Post
Here's a little something I captured Monday. I'll be chasing tomorrow and should have time for a detailed forecast in the morning.
Hope this post doesn't ping any sleeper's phones.
Thanks everyone.
2022-05-04 06:55:10 +0000 UTC View Post
Gonna try to get near the 15% outlook and fine tune a forecast if time allows. I'm a little behind after being suckered south of Lubbock yesterday for a hail and dust cell. Got some neato apocalyptic captures... I think. The Wind...
2022-05-02 15:36:37 +0000 UTC View Post
Again, today is like plugging in a USB... 50/50 you'll guess right. I'm leaning toward the Northern target probably because its a LOT less driving. Looks like a busy week.
On Friday, Shaw was closer and confirmed this funn...
2022-05-01 16:37:20 +0000 UTC View Post
A very confusing target today if aiming for discreet supercells… Models seem to suggest a series of MCSs (Mesoscale Convective System / surging cluster of storms) will mitigate the photogenic tornado potential on the Kansas Nebraska border, but ...
2022-04-29 13:37:12 +0000 UTC View Post
If you're getting kicked out of the hotel, I recommend forecasting for dummies... The HRRR model supercell composite and reflectivity parameters may get you close...
2022-04-23 16:39:01 +0000 UTC
View Post
Yesterday was the premiere of "The Ballad of Pecos Hank" at the 5point film festival in Carbondale Colorado. They generously offered to fly my out & hook me up in a fancy hotel if I showed up and said a few words after the film. I ...
2022-04-22 15:35:21 +0000 UTC View Post
Today appears to be a re-run of yesterday. 1 degree Celsius may make the difference between a big storm or blue sky. See all the other chumps in the target area today. Put on your sunscreen.
2022-04-21 14:55:47 +0000 UTC
View Post
The NAM says Bam! The HRRR says Brrrr. Har har.
The last NAM run resolved what would likely be a photogenic storm near OKC. The HRRR said stay at home and watch Netflix stock plunge.
I’ll be in OK looking for snakes and turtles at...
2022-04-20 17:37:00 +0000 UTC View Post
Rollin’ rollin’ rollin’…Hoping to fish something out of a mess today in the circled vicinity. Very optimistic I’ll enjoy driving through rainy forests. Gotta roll! Stay safe everyone.
2022-04-13 16:16:31 +0000 UTC View Post
Yesterday a small group chasers were treated to pretty views of a supercell from the top of a ridge in Eastern Oklahoma. Got a brief hang with fellow Patrons Aman and Joel.
2022-04-12 15:20:24 +0000 UTC
View Post
Heading into the beautiful, but very challenging chase country of SE OK. Lots of hills, trees and curvy roads. I’ll try to post worthy updates in this thread. Last two chases my photos were not uploading, so if you can’t see them it’s me, no...
2022-04-11 17:42:52 +0000 UTC View Post
Good weekend Patrons! It's looking like a lot of stormy opportunity next week. Hopefully we can fish tornado's that occur outa all this...
2022-04-09 15:38:14 +0000 UTC
View Post
I think I’m going to target potential supercells after sunset on the tail end of the surging cold front / convective system outflow. Why not?
Current target is west of i35 (black circle) at 7-8pm. Probably shoulda left sooner.
Don...
2022-04-04 18:33:30 +0000 UTC View Post
I'm digging up old bones for my next video and came across this. High res download in attachments below. (EXPIRED)
The new video might be completed next weekend depending if there are good storm opportunities next week. I'm ...
2022-03-31 20:36:35 +0000 UTC View Post
I decided to sit this one out based on the expectations of impossibly messy storm modes. There might be a window later today for forecastable tornadic storms near the MS/AL border. Hope I'm wrong. We can discuss the event here today If...
2022-03-22 15:50:57 +0000 UTC View Post
The current obvious initial target is A with the likely more photogenic and less messy storm modes. C is a good second candidate for a strong tornado with higher SRH (Storm Relative Helicity / Spin in the atmosphere relative to the storm) bu...
2022-03-21 16:02:17 +0000 UTC View Post
The producers did a great job superimposing my tornado footage into this music video. If you're an Arcade Fire fan, you'll wanna give this one an extra whirl.
Thanks Bash for sending me this link.
STORMS MONDAY - TUESDAY - WEDNE...
2022-03-18 14:28:42 +0000 UTC View Post
...But possible. I'll be monitoring conditions today for a potential brief backyard chase. There may be a small dusk window for something photogenic south of the DFW chaos just prior to the jungle thicket. If I'm not being a slac...
2022-03-14 16:41:31 +0000 UTC View Post
Here are all my doodads and how they are mounted. I hope you find some solutions to make your driving and storm chasing safer in this video. Disclaimer, I've been using this similar system since about 2010 and added more cameras and co...
2022-03-10 22:45:12 +0000 UTC View Post